It takes balls to predict the Electoral College outcome two months before a presidential election. Any wimp can make a prediction in November when all the final polls are available.
But I have ‘em, so I’m placing them on the line even before Barack Obama takes the stage at the Democratic National Convention tonight.
I’m not really worried about Obama winning, but it’s absolutely clear that the Democrats have no hope and no change heading into the fall election cycle. They know they are the party of $4 gas, 8 percent unemployment, socialized medicine, government unions and a $16 trillion debt (not to mention the Gulf Oil Spill, Eric Holder, Solyndra, Occupy Wall Street and Fast and Furious as well as opposing recognizing God and Jerusalem in the party platform).
I could go on and on and on…even without mentioning the gutting of Medicare or a failed stimulus package.
But I won’t.
In 1980, Ronald Reagan won a 44-state landslide with just 51 percent of the popular vote. Spoiler John Anderson did drain votes from both parties, but that wouldn’t have changed the outcome. 2012 will be more like 1980 than the nail-biter of 2000.
I don’t even think it will be close. I’m predicting a 53-47 percentage win in the popular vote for Romney.
Why so brash?
Actually, it’s easy.
Democrat voters are depressed. Polls show they have no enthusiasm going into the fall, so it really doesn’t matter their majorities – albeit shrinking -- among Hispanics, Jews, Catholics and single women.
Republican voters are breathing fire. Polls show they have enough enthusiasm to eat glass if that what it takes to vote in Romney and Paul Ryan and vote out Obama. The Republican advantage alone among males – you know, the “gender gap” the media won’t discuss – is overwhelming.
And with the help of the RealClearPolitics.com “create a map” electoral map tool, I’m predicting Romney will win 327 votes, and Obama 211, in November.
Romney will win the red states he should win plus the swing states of Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Indiana, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Colorado.
Obama will win the typical Kool-Aide blue states plus the swing states of Minnesota (California of the Midwest), Nevada (unions steal elections) and New Hampshire (too many Boston liberals have moved into the Granite State to escape high taxes, so New Hampshire is longer the red state it once was).
I could be off a few states. Pennsylvania is “Pittsburgh and Philadelphia on the ends and Alabama in the middle,” so it’s possible that state could go blue. But overall, it’s a safe bet Romney will win something north of 300 Electoral College votes.
As a conservative, I don’t mean to sound complacent. I could be wrong.
So just in case, I’m giving up my Saturdays through November so I can lead the canvassing program for the Redlands Tea Party Patriots. I feel, as they do, that we are saving our country from the destruction the liberals have inflicted on the USA since the not-so-close election of 2008.