It takes balls to predict the Electoral College outcome two months before a presidential election. Any wimp can make a prediction in November when all the final polls are available.
But I have ‘em, so I’m placing them on the line even before Barack Obama takes the stage at the Democratic National Convention tonight.
I’m not really worried about Obama winning, but it’s absolutely clear that the Democrats have no hope and no change heading into the fall election cycle. They know they are the party of $4 gas, 8 percent unemployment, socialized medicine, government unions and a $16 trillion debt (not to mention the Gulf Oil Spill, Eric Holder, Solyndra, Occupy Wall Street and Fast and Furious as well as opposing recognizing God and Jerusalem in the party platform).
I could go on and on and on…even without mentioning the gutting of Medicare or a failed stimulus package.
But I won’t.
In 1980, Ronald Reagan won a 44-state landslide with just 51 percent of the popular vote. Spoiler John Anderson did drain votes from both parties, but that wouldn’t have changed the outcome. 2012 will be more like 1980 than the nail-biter of 2000.
I don’t even think it will be close. I’m predicting a 53-47 percentage win in the popular vote for Romney.
Why so brash?
Actually, it’s easy.
Democrat voters are depressed. Polls show they have no enthusiasm going into the fall, so it really doesn’t matter their majorities – albeit shrinking -- among Hispanics, Jews, Catholics and single women.
Republican voters are breathing fire. Polls show they have enough enthusiasm to eat glass if that what it takes to vote in Romney and Paul Ryan and vote out Obama. The Republican advantage alone among males – you know, the “gender gap” the media won’t discuss – is overwhelming.
And with the help of the RealClearPolitics.com “create a map” electoral map tool, I’m predicting Romney will win 327 votes, and Obama 211, in November.
Romney will win the red states he should win plus the swing states of Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Indiana, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Colorado.
Obama will win the typical Kool-Aide blue states plus the swing states of Minnesota (California of the Midwest), Nevada (unions steal elections) and New Hampshire (too many Boston liberals have moved into the Granite State to escape high taxes, so New Hampshire is longer the red state it once was).
I could be off a few states. Pennsylvania is “Pittsburgh and Philadelphia on the ends and Alabama in the middle,” so it’s possible that state could go blue. But overall, it’s a safe bet Romney will win something north of 300 Electoral College votes.
As a conservative, I don’t mean to sound complacent. I could be wrong.
So just in case, I’m giving up my Saturdays through November so I can lead the canvassing program for the Redlands Tea Party Patriots. I feel, as they do, that we are saving our country from the destruction the liberals have inflicted on the USA since the not-so-close election of 2008.
Saying that America needs jobs, and that he wants to help your family is great. But I don't hear exactly how he wants to do that. And his promises are mathematically impossible unless the middle class gets saddled with the bulk of the financial burden. We'll need twice as many jobs so the middle class workers can take an extra one to make ends meet. How does that help the family? Or the little guy? You go on ahead and "save our country" with a vote for Romney. I'll still vote along with the majority for the proven leader with a real plan, and who has attended a math class. For your sake, I hope you don't get sick when he takes away your access to health care. Health care that was HIS idea. But with luck, you probably have millions in offshore accounts like he does. That way, when he privatizes the country and runs it like a business, you won't be screwed when he sells off every piece of that business and rakes in MORE money while you lose your job, your security, your future. He cares about you. And if you believe Romney will help you, I'd like to give you a ride on a unicorn.
Of course Bush is to blame for starting the ball rolling, and his decisions are still adding to the current problem. All Republicans should not shy away from that truth, not when he was glaringly absent from the RNC convention. The real issue to discuss is whether or not Obama's policies of stimulus and continued tax cuts did more harm than good. Republicans claim the former, and Democrats claim the latter. We know what Obama is planning on doing for the next four years; what we are still in the dark about is what Romney is planning on doing. He will risk losing some independents if he can't put forth his proposals before the election.
But who will be asking unemployed American's Mortgage holders for four more years before foreclosing? Banks and Credit Card companies for four more years to catch up on delinquent accounts? Or for that matter... Four more years from the I.R.S. to payoff back taxes? Obama asked us to try it his way. After Five Billion Dollars in increased national debt, 48 months of +8% unemployment (+12% for Blacks & Latinos), can Americans really look to four more years of failed Keynesian Obama-nomics, draconian regulations and executive orders bypassing the very checks & balances our way of government was founded on? Sorry Mr. Obama... You had your chance. Perhaps if you had spent half your golf games meeting with your Jobs Commission... More time actually leading than attending $50K per plate campaign (and who are you calling the 1%rs?) fundraisers... And, blaming Bush for everything from the Obama economy to killing Cock-Robin... We The People just might consider your request. But we are sorry Mr. President. Just like our Mortgages, loans and credit cards... Your bill is due and payable in full on November 6th. 2012.